Civics 2024 US Presidential Election Forecast
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State | Simulations Harris Won | Simulations Trump Won | Rank |
---|---|---|---|
Alabama | 6 (0.1%) | 9994 (99.9%) | Safe Trump |
Arkansas | 11 (0.1%) | 9989 (99.9%) | Safe Trump |
Alaska | 65 (0.7%) | 9935 (99.3%) | Safe Trump |
Arizona | 4976 (49.8%) | 5024 (50.2%) | Toss Up |
California | 9994 (99.9%) | 6 (0.1%) | Safe Harris |
Colorado | 9919 (99.2%) | 81 (0.8%) | Safe Harris |
Connecticut | 9980 (99.8%) | 20 (0.2%) | Safe Harris |
Delaware | 9992 (99.9%) | 8 (0.1%) | Safe Harris |
Florida | 1657 (16.6%) | 8343 (83.4%) | Likely Trump |
Georgia | 4963 (49.6%) | 5037 (50.4%) | Toss Up |
Hawaii | 9988 (99.9%) | 12 (0.1%) | Safe Harris |
Idaho | 12 (0.1%) | 9988 (99.9%) | Safe Trump |
Illinois | 9984 (99.8%) | 16 (0.2%) | Safe Harris |
Indiana | 35 (0.3%) | 9965 (99.7%) | Safe Trump |
Iowa | 441 (4.4%) | 9559 (95.6%) | Safe Trump |
Kansas | 3 (0.0%) | 9997 (100%) | Safe Trump |
Kentucky | 3 (0.0%) | 9997 (100%) | Safe Trump |
Louisiana | 2 (0.0%) | 9998 (100%) | Safe Trump |